Public Policy Polling, which emerged as one of the most accurate pollsters of the 2012 campaign, now sees Gov. Dannel Malloy as a good bet for re-election. That\’s quite a bump for a guy considered one of the more unpopular governors in the country over the last year and a half. In an interesting twist, Malloy can legitimately claim he pushed a reluctant state to accept the sort of increased taxes and cuts in spending that Congress and the president now face.
Of course, Kevin Lembo, the state\’s comptroller, is also warning of over-spending and a potential deficit next year.
Take a look at PPP\’s assessment:
Folks who look favored for another term, at least for now:
Three other Republican Governors elected in 2010 lead hypothetical Democratic opponents for 2014 by single digit margins- they look like favorites for now but could become more vulnerable. Those are Michigan\’s Rick Snyder (47/41 against a generic Dem), Wisconsin\’s Scott Walker (50/43), and Iowa\’s Terry Branstad (40/40). All three of these Governors posted pretty poor numbers during their first year in office but have seen significant improvement in their standing in year 2.
Democrat Dan Malloy of Connecticut also belongs in this category. We\’ve tended to find him as one of the most unpopular Governors in the country so far but he saw a major improvement in our last poll to the point where he led a hypothetical Republican foe 48-37. It\’s hard to say what might have produced such a sudden, substantial improvement- perhaps his leadership during the hurricane? if that is the case we\’ll have to keep an eye on whether his improved numbers are permanent or just fleeting.